Paul Preston just gave an 8 minute update on the Oroville dam with Dave Hodges on the common sense show (youtube). He lives locally and his sources at the dam are saying right now with no rain there is still a 30% chance of failure, let alone the rain that is to come over the next week. He will be packing up and leaving the area within the next couple of days. He will lose his house and everything also.......the situation is very dire."
The problem is, that even if there is no rain and the emergency spillway is not used, the primary spillway has a major problem that is definitely working its way up to the flood gates. They can't stop this, they just have to accept what happens, and dam failure is a very real possibility, with ZERO rain. This is literally like riding an airplane that is losing a wing, and looking out the window at it, hoping you will land safely.