PREDICTION: There will be no Oroville disaster
It will be a hell of a show, but nothing will happen. This is because it is becoming obvious that they used weather modification to stop the forecasted rains from hitting, (11 forecasted inches got knocked down to 2.5) and that bought enough time to fix the emergency spillway well enough to prevent it from washing out when it gets used. I believe it will be used when the snow melts, but that it won't result in serious consequence because the preparations were too intense, too well executed, and progressed for too much time. It is probably fixed well enough now.
Problems: In order to buy enough time, they stopped all outflows from upstream reservoirs and now they are all maxed out. So the game now will be to try to release as much as possible from the upstream reservoirs (to restore their flood control capacity) and keep Oroville's outflows at around 60,000 CFS to drain it as fast as possible without too seriously risking washing out the upper part of the main spillway. If that holds, there probably will not be a serious disaster.
I still believe 100 percent that communists in California's government blew the main spillway with explosives in an attempt to wipe the dam out, but because that was clearly and loudly stated, and then the $50 dam break matched Oroville's appearance so perfectly, that they HAD TO back off on destroying the dam and every effort was subsequently made to save it, to save Commie butt. Obviously we won't ever get the answer on this, but that is what I believe happened.
There have been several posts about "shoddy spillway repairs" made by people who are not qualified to say it, all I ever saw them post was pictures of what I would totally expect to see done to keep the dam in perfect shape. It makes no sense at all that after running the dam at 170,000 cfs a few years ago that it would catastrophically fail at only 60-70,000 cfs, with clear photos showing the spillway did receive maintenance, and also when the spillway was rated at 250,000 CFS. The only thing that makes any sense at all is willful destruction in an attempt to destroy the dam entirely.
JIM STONE
It will be a hell of a show, but nothing will happen. This is because it is becoming obvious that they used weather modification to stop the forecasted rains from hitting, (11 forecasted inches got knocked down to 2.5) and that bought enough time to fix the emergency spillway well enough to prevent it from washing out when it gets used. I believe it will be used when the snow melts, but that it won't result in serious consequence because the preparations were too intense, too well executed, and progressed for too much time. It is probably fixed well enough now.
Problems: In order to buy enough time, they stopped all outflows from upstream reservoirs and now they are all maxed out. So the game now will be to try to release as much as possible from the upstream reservoirs (to restore their flood control capacity) and keep Oroville's outflows at around 60,000 CFS to drain it as fast as possible without too seriously risking washing out the upper part of the main spillway. If that holds, there probably will not be a serious disaster.
I still believe 100 percent that communists in California's government blew the main spillway with explosives in an attempt to wipe the dam out, but because that was clearly and loudly stated, and then the $50 dam break matched Oroville's appearance so perfectly, that they HAD TO back off on destroying the dam and every effort was subsequently made to save it, to save Commie butt. Obviously we won't ever get the answer on this, but that is what I believe happened.
There have been several posts about "shoddy spillway repairs" made by people who are not qualified to say it, all I ever saw them post was pictures of what I would totally expect to see done to keep the dam in perfect shape. It makes no sense at all that after running the dam at 170,000 cfs a few years ago that it would catastrophically fail at only 60-70,000 cfs, with clear photos showing the spillway did receive maintenance, and also when the spillway was rated at 250,000 CFS. The only thing that makes any sense at all is willful destruction in an attempt to destroy the dam entirely.
JIM STONE